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US Election 2020: Donald Trump and Joe Biden locked in a tight race; experts analyse key trends

Updated : November 04, 2020 09:58 PM IST

The US Elections are poised on a knife's edge and a few swing states hold the keys to the White House.

As of now, Democratic nominee Joe Biden has won nearly 68 million votes. This is more than 50 percent of the total vote cast. President Donald Trump has won 65 million votes as things stand.

But winning the popular votes does not matter. Remember, Donald Trump did not win the popular vote in 2016, but still won the presidency. That's because of the Electoral College.

Each of the 50 states have specific Electoral College votes. You need 270 Electoral College votes to win and Joe Biden currently holds a slender lead with 224 and Trump has 213.

Among the key swing states, Donald Trump is projected to win Florida by an even bigger margin than 2016. He is also projected to win Ohio. Texas was supposed to be a toss-up but Trump is projected to win it comfortably.

Joe Biden is projected to win in Minnesota and New Hampshire by a resounding margin. But Trump is also projected to win Iowa.

However, millions of postal ballots are yet to be counted. So why the delay? Well, in 2016 US recorded 33 million postal ballots. This year, due to the pandemic, over 102 million people voted by post.

To put things in perspective, the total size of the US electorate is over 230 million. Also, 102 million postal ballots is more than 70 percent of the total votes cast in the previous presidential election.

Even as millions of votes yet to be counted, President Trump has claimed he will win. He has threatened to stop the counting of votes by moving the Supreme Court, and alleged that the Democrats have committed election fraud and are trying to steal the elections. Joe Biden's camp has called President Trump's statements outrageous.

To discuss this, Shereen Bhan and Parikshit Luthra spoke to Tim Roemer Former, US Ambassador to India; Ian Bremmer, President of Eurasia Group; Carlos Pascual Senior VP - Global Energy at IHS Markit, Former US Ambassador to Mexico; Austan Goolsbee, Ex-Chairman, Economic Advisors Council at The White House; Richard Painter, Former Chief Ethics Lawyer at White House; Frank Wisner, Former US Ambassador to India; Megan McArdle Columnist at Washington Post; Mukesh Aghi, President of USISPF; Kanwal Sibal, Former Foreign Secretary and Arvind Sanger, Managing Partner at Geosphere Capital.

To know more watch the video.

For our in-depth coverage of the US elections 2020, please visit our LIVE blog
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