Two months of monsoon are over and rainfall in the country stands at about 9 percent deficiency which is much lower than at the start of July. The expectation is that rainfall during August and September will be at a 100 percent of long period average (LPA).
DS Pai of Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said: “During the first month of monsoon season, i.e. June, there was large deficiency of around 33 percent. However, later in July, particularly in the last 10 days and the early parts of July, we had good rainfall activity over north east India, central India, and north west India. As a result now the rainfall deficiency has reduced up to 9 percent.
"We are expecting that in the second half of the monsoon season things to improve further. We are expecting a rainfall of around 100 percent during the last two months of the season and overall it to end close to 96 percent plus or minus four as we predicted in June.”
He added: “In the first half of August we are expecting improved rainfall, normal or above normal rainfall, and there can be some dry spell in the later part of August. However, at least for the next 15 days or so, we are likely to expect a normal to above normal rainfall for the country as a whole, particularly over central India and north west India."
Speaking about the deficiency of rainfall in north east India, Pai said, “As of now there is deficiency of about 11 percent and we had predicted 9 percent. However, I think the deficiency to be around 10 percent by end of the season.”
He added: “Southern part, as of now we have deficiency of about 18 percent, and that should further improve in the later part of the season. Overall, most of the areas are likely to get normal monsoon, except north east which as we predicted, there could be some deficiency of about 9 percent."