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RBI Monetary Policy: Experts discuss the impact of fifth consecutive rate cut by central bank

Updated : October 04, 2019 09:56 PM IST

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday cut its benchmark lending rate by 0.25 percent to revive growth that has hit a six-year low of 5 percent, and affirmed commitment to remain accommodative to address growth concerns 'as long as necessary'.

With this cut, the repo rate, at which it lends to the system, will now come down to 5.15 percent and push consumption during the ongoing festival season. This will help reduce borrowing costs for home and auto loans, which are now directly linked to this benchmark.

This is the fifth straight cut in rates by the Reserve Bank of India in as much policy reviews in 2019 and takes the total quantum of reductions to 1.35 percent.

In the fourth bi-monthly review of the policy, the RBI sharply reduced its GDP growth estimate to 6.1 percent for FY20 as against 6.9 percent it was expecting earlier.

This cut came in the wake of June quarter growth slips to a six-year low of 5 percent, which is attributed to a slowdown in consumption, lack of new investments by the industry and also a slump in the global economy.

"...the MPC (monetary policy committee) decided to continue with an accommodative stance as long as it is necessary to revive growth while ensuring that inflation remains within the target," the resolution of the six-member panel headed by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said.

All the six members voted for a rate cut at the end of the three-day meeting, with Ravindra Dholakia voting for a 0.40 percent reduction in rates.

On inflation, which is the key mandate of the RBI with the target of 4 percent in the medium term, the MPC moved up the September quarter expectations "slightly upwards" to 3.6 percent, but retained its projection for the second half of this fiscal at 3.5-3.7 percent.

The half-yearly Monetary Policy Report presented along with the policy review suggested that inflation will remain within the target levels till the early part of FY21.

To answer that and decode the policy, CNBC-TV18 spoke to Arijit Basu, managing director of State Bank of India; Lakshmi Iyer, chief investment officer for fixed income at Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Company; Amandeep Chopra, head-fixed income at UTI MF; Pranjul Bhandari, chief India Economist at HSBC and Rajiv Anand, executive director at Axis Bank.

(With inputs from PTI)
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