In an interview to CNBC-TV18, GP Sharma, president of Skymet, shared his views on progress of monsoon 2019.
Sharma said: "The month of June has been disappointing. All through the month rainfall has been below the normal even on daily basis. Therefore mounting to about 35 percent deficiency as of today. The next three days of this month are going to be below normal. So the month of June is going to end possibly at about 32-33 percent deficiency.
"It is not recoverable in the month of July also but July seems a little better than June. In July, we should have 2-3 good spells from the agriculture point of view particularly the central parts which are looking at a drought like condition and many of the pockets will show some improvement — Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, even Gujarat — they will show some improvement in the first half of July itself but deficiency will remain. Monsoon overall is still likely to be below normal because June has done lot of damage and its recovery will take a little time."
He added: "Both July and August are going to be better than what we had in June. The projections which Skymet had made earlier of very poor June, it is so. July we said marginally it should be poor, about 91 percent but August and September we have projected it to be normal monsoon months, nearly 100 percent of rainfall, could be a little in excess of that in the month of August as such and we still look at it that way.
"However, the overall deficiency will be about 7 percent which is below normal."
On the rainfall in Mumbai, he said: "It is a very soft onset for Mumbai. Mumbai is known for having heavy to very heavy rainfall, even three digit rainfall around the time of onset but it has not happened. However, the next three days commencing today, we will see good rains in Mumbai."