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Uttar Pradesh exit poll results 2019: BJP maintains edge in Uttar Pradesh against SP-BSP mahagathbandhan, say pollsters

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While a majority of exit polls have predicted the BJP to remain the single-largest party, the saffron party is likely to climb down from its 2014 tally of 71 seats.

Uttar Pradesh exit poll results 2019: BJP maintains edge in Uttar Pradesh against SP-BSP mahagathbandhan, say pollsters
Uttar Pradesh is the most important state for any political party or alliance aiming to form the government at the Centre. The most populous state sends as many as 80 Members of Parliament to the 543-member Lok Sabha and as popular adage in the country says: the road to Delhi goes via Lucknow.
A News18-Ipsos exit poll of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections projected Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party winning 60-62 out of 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh. The poll expects Congress to take 1-2 seats in the key state. Mahagathbandhan is expected to bag 17-19 seats, with Samajwadi Party winning 9-10 seats, Bahujan Samaj Party 6-8 seats and RLD 1 seat.
Uttar Pradesh handed an unprecedented 71 seats to the Bharatiya Janata Party in the 2014 General Elections, pushing the saffron party’s overall tally to 282 to help it secure a majority on its own at the centre. It was the first time a political party won majority on its own after 1989 in the country.
Along with its ally Apna Dal, the party won a total of 73 out seats in the state, boosting the National Democratic Alliance’s tally to 336.
In 2014, the BJP and its smaller allies faced a largely four-cornered contest, but the road to Delhi in 2019 involves a major face-off between the BJP and a mahagathbandhan of Akhilesh Yadav-led Samajwadi Party and Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party along with Ajit Singh’s Rashtriya Lok Dal. The Congress is the third party at the hustings.
While a majority of exit polls have predicted the BJP to remain the single-largest party, the saffron party is likely to climb down from its 2014 tally of 71 seats.
Among other major surveys, the ABP Nielsen survey has predicted major gains for the SP-BSP combine, particularly in Western UP and Purvanchal. As per the survey, SP-BSP-RLD combine is likley to win 56 Lok Sabha seats, while BJP seat tally is expected to come down to 22. The Congress will win just two seats.
The NDTV poll of polls survey results indicate the BJP will reduce its seat share in Uttar Pradesh, but will still emerge as the single largest party, winning 55 seats, which is a decline of 16 seats from its 2014 tally of 71 seats. The NDTV survey hands the Congress just 2 seats, while the Samajwadi Party-Bahujan Samaj Party combine may win 23 seats.
The Times Now-VMR exit poll results predicts the BJP to win 56 seats on its own and two seats for its allies, taking the total NDA tally in the state to 58. The mahagathbandhan is expected to win 20 seats in the state, while the Congress has been predicted to win its two seats.
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