An exit poll on Sunday predicted that the BJP-RLP alliance would win 22-24 seats out of the total 25 seats in the Lok Sabha elections 2019.
The Lok Sabha elections in Rajasthan were held in two phases on April 29 and May 6.
The News18-Ipsos exit poll showed Congress winning only 2-3 seats in the state. This comes as a surprise as the trends from the last two decades indicated that the party winning the assembly elections had the edge in the Lok Sabha poll as well.
The Congress had emerged as the winner in the assembly elections last December. A major reason for the BJP’s defeat in state elections was dubbed to be the perceived hostility towards Raje.
However, if the exit polls come true, it could prove that the BJP has regained the confidence in the state. In 2014 Lok Sabha elections, it had won all 25 seats in the state.
Ipsos is the world’s top international pollster that boasts a solid track record of predicting the electoral outcomes of several elections around the world with accuracy.
To envisage the number of seats likely to be won by each of the political parties (or alliances) contesting the general election, a total of 199 parliamentary constituencies were selected out of 543 across 28 states of India. Within the parliamentary constituencies, 796 assembly constituencies were selected, and then 4,776 individual polling station areas were selected for conducting interviews. In each polling station, around 25 voters were randomly selected depending on the terrain and voter turnouts in that particular polling station. A total of 1,21,542 voters were interviewed from the 199 constituencies.
India's parliament has a total of 545 seats, out of which the BJP won 282 in the previous general election in 2014 to secure a single-party majority for the first time in around three decades.
Indians voted in the seventh and final phase of national elections on Sunday, wrapping up a roughly six-week-long punishing and a bitterly-fought election campaign that often turned ugly with politicians hurling personal insults at each other.
Counting of votes is scheduled for May 23.
