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Not big fan of reopen trade: Rajeev Thakkar
Rajeev Thakkar, Director and CIO at PPFAS Mutual Fund, is not a big fan of the reopen trade. "Just because something was shut down and something is opening up now... Some of the businesses, if they are low RoC businesses, businesses that haven't generated a meaningful amount of wealth for shareholders for many years... Just because you see one or two quarters of a big earning rebound, it doesn't mean that we should go out and buy them," he said.
For instance, he said, barring Indigo, most airlines have lost money for shareholders. "So just because there's a big uptick in cyclical demand for a few quarters, it would not make us buyers in that space... We would rather look at sustainability of a business over a few years rather than just looking at one or two quarters," he added.
Some PSU banks may give good returns: Rajeev Thakkar
Rajeev Thakkar, Director and CIO at PPFAS Mutual Fund, believes PSU banking stocks are very interestingly poised, and some of them may make good returns for shareholders. "We have seen some consolidation over there with mergers and things like that. But historically, there has been this overhang where sometimes mergers are pushed through which may not really be in minority shareholders' interest or sometimes capital allocation decisions are a bit suspect. So in a scenario where we see the whole sector is rebounding, we would rather stick with the private sector names. But some of the public sector names are also interestingly poised and valuations on some of those are reasonably attractive," he said.
"We own ICICI Bank, Axis Bank and HDFC Bank," he added.
Positive on financial stocks: Rajeev Thakkar
Rajeev Thakkar, Director and CIO at PPFAS Mutual Fund, believes financial stocks are well placed, especially ones that have come out of the pandemic relatively unscathed. "In the COVID times, the interest rates were driven extremely low, so the whole benefit of low cost deposits from CASA for the lenders was not coming through. But that cycle seems to be behind us and gradually, we should see some uptick in the short-term interest rates, which would increase the margins for the lenders where their current account and savings account balances are at a very low cost. They would be able to lend at relatively higher interest rates," he said.
Also, the muted credit growth situation seen so far will gradually change as the private sector starts to ramp up capital expenditure, given increased demand and the shortage-like scenario in various sectors, he said. "Even at the retail-end, we are seeing an uptick in the mortgage lending with the increased demand for homes. Auto loans and personal loans also should see an uptick down the road... All in all, the banking and financial services pay seems to be quite attractive. Even the insurance space, especially in the life and health areas, is seeing increased demand with the increased awareness on account of the COVID scenario. So going into COVID, all players in the market place including us were scared about what the NPA levels will be and what the damage on the balance sheets would be like. However, most of the fears were overblown, and whatever little damages there are should get corrected in the next few months," he added.
Nifty50 has strong hurdle near 18,325: LKP Securities' Rohit Singre
The Nifty50 index again formed a bearish candle on the daily chart, said Rohit Singre, Senior Technical Analyst at LKP Securities. The index has formed a strong hurdle zone near 18,325, he said. "Some profit booking may be seen before those levels. But if it manages to cross that zone decisively, the next move towards 18,500-18,600 zone is possible. Fresh longs would be suggested above 18,325. On the other hand, immediate support is coming near 18,150-18,000 levels," he added.
Game Theory: How Professor Sanjay Bakshi relates driving to investing
Professor Sanjay Bakshi, a well-known academician in the field of value investing and behavioural finance, has drawn comparisons between driving and investing.
Bakshi, a Managing Partner at ValueQuest Capital LLP and now Adjunct Professor at Pune-based FLAME University, compared the margin of safety with the distance between two cars. (Read more)
Market At Close | Godrej Consumer, Union Bank, Canara Bank top midcap gainers; Zee, Vedanta, Nalco top losers
Here are some highlights:
--Banks drag market; Nifty Bank falls 364 points (0.9%) to 40,874
--Midcap index gains 24 points to 31,126
--Maruti Suzuki closes 1% higher amid volatility post-earnings
--Metal stocks fail to hold intraday gains; Nifty Metal slips 2%
--Asian Paints top Nifty gainer, up 4% after price hike announcement
--UPL gains 4% after strong show by Sharda Crop
--Cipla’s healthy Q2 leads to gain in pharma names; Sun Pharma, Divi’s rise up to 3.6%
--United Spirits posts strong Q2, stock closes 6% higher; UBL up 2%
--Zee Entertainment, Vedanta, Nalco, JSPL, Bandhan Bank top midcap losers
--Godrej Consumer, Union Bank, Canara Bank, Mphasis, L&T Tech top midcap gainers
--Market breadth favours bulls; advance-decline ratio at 5:4
Closing Bell | Sensex falls 207 points to 61,143, Nifty at 18,211
The Sensex index ended 206.9 points or 0.3 percent lower at 61,143.3 and the broader Nifty50 benchmark shed 57.5 points or 0.3 percent to settle at 18,211. Losses in financial, oil & gas and metal shares pulled the market lower, though gains in IT and consumer goods shares limited the downside.
Market Watch | Buy Heritage Foods and Astra Microwave Products, says Kyal of Waves Strategy Advisors
Here are two trading calls from Ashish Kyal of Waves Strategy Advisors:
--Buy Heritage Foods for a target of Rs 580 with a stop loss at Rs 523
--Buy Astra Microwave Products for a target of Rs 237 with a stop loss at Rs 214
Cautious on Indian equity market, correction to be healthy for big bull run: Goldilocks Premium Research
Financial advisory firm Goldilocks Premium Research has turned cautious on the Indian market, Founder and Chief Strategist Gautam Shah told CNBC-TV18. He also said that a correction will be healthy for the market in the context of a longer or bigger bull run.
Goldilocks has turned a little cautious as the market does not appear to have the strength to take out lifetime highs anytime soon. The recent correction in the Nifty50 index from the 18,600 level "does not look like a plain vanilla variety for the first time in 12 months", he said.
However, Shah believes the medium-term trend in the market remains positive. (Tap to read further)