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Expect volatility to remain on higher side, traders advised not to make aggressive bets: Angel One's Sameet Chavan
Sameet Chavan, Chief Analyst-Technical and Derivatives at Angel One, continues to remain cautious and does not expect the Nifty50 index to cross the sturdy wall of 17,900-17,950 anytime soon.
"For the coming session, all eyes will be on on global developments, because any further aberration on that front would finally validate our recent stance," he told CNBCTV18.com. "As far as levels are concerned, 17,500-17,450 would be seen as crucial support. A violation of lower range would be seen as the first sign of weakness. Before the recent highs, 17,750-17,850 are to be treated as immediate resistance and the way things panned out today, any bounce towards these levels is likely to get sold into," he said.
Chavan expects volatility to remain on the higher side, and advises traders not to trade with aggressive bets.
Still maintain these are great levels in market: Dipan Mehta
Dipan Mehta, Director of Elixir Equities, said 100 points on the Nifty index is something market participants should get "absolutely used to".
"It is not even 1 percent, not even a correction, just a mild sell-off and there could be some stock-wise correction. I still maintain that these are great levels and on further corrections, there are investors sitting on the sidelines with cash in their books wanting to do some reshuffling, getting out of the underperformers and getting into overperformers," he said. It is an ideal time to reshuffle a portfolio or to invest fresh money into the market, he said.
Rupee expected to trade in 74.40-75.20 range with positive bias: Gaurang Somaiyaa of Motilal Oswal
Gaurang Somaiyaa, Forex and Bullion Analyst at Motilal Oswal Financial Services, said the rupee fell sharply primarily on the back of weakness in domestic and global equities, and also as the dollar rose to a one-year high.
"Market participants remain cautious ahead of the RBI policy statement. Any concerns over higher inflation in India in the RBI's policy meeting could also weigh on the rupee," he said. The RBI will release its policy statement after concluding a two-day scheduled review on Friday.
"Global crude oil prices have rallied steadily in the past few weeks, adding to worries for India’s elevated oil import bill. Today, focus will be on the private payrolls number that will be released from the US. We expect the USD-INR (spot pair) to trade with a positive bias and quote in the range of 74.40-75.20,” he added.
Nifty could run into profit taking after a small recovery: HDFC Securities' Deepak Jasani
Nifty has formed a lower top on a short-term basis, said Deepak Jasani, Head of Retail Research at HDFC Securities. "It has also formed an engulfing top on the daily charts which has bearish connotations. The weak advance-decline ratio also suggests wide spread profit taking. Even if the global markets show some recovery, Nifty could after a small recovery again run into profit taking. Investors may take a part of their profits and raise cash, while traders can keep strict stop losses and reduce their positions till the sentiment improves," he said.
Doesn’t look like market is in for a medium- or long-term correction: Karvy Capital's Kunj Bansal
Kunj Bansal, CIO of Karvy Capital, told CNBC-TV18 he believes it doesn't look like that the market is in for a medium- or long-term correction. "If we look at the market in the very recent time, this is the third time that we are getting this correction and the second time from the similar levels as we have got today. If again, this short term be extended to the last one-and-a-half years, in hindsight, now we know that every correction has been a buying opportunity," he said.
"Probably we can say the same thing here or whether it will not be, only time will tell. But it doesn’t look like that we are in for a long-term correction or even for a medium-term correction here. It will be more or less these smaller corrections that will be there. If the festive season turns out to be good, the market should remain positive," he added.
He mentioned that one big negative for the market at the current juncture is rising oil prices, ,which is certainly a key monitorable.
Rupee can trade in 74.80-75.40 range in near term: Kotak Securities' Anindya Banerjee
Anindya Banerjee, DVP-Currency and Interest Rate Derivatives at Kotak Securities, expects the USD-INR pair to trade within a range of 74.80-75.40 in the spot market over the near term.
"A combination of rising oil prices, the fear of liquidity ebbing due to central banks rolling back their easing measures, rising bond yields and weakness in stocks, had a negative impact on the rupee. Carry traders were forced to cover shorts once the USD-INR pair broke above the 74.65 level," he said.
Market At Close | Sensex, Nifty, midcap index slip 1% each; Nifty Bank down 0.6%
Here are some highlights of today's session:
--Nifty Bank falls 219 points to 37,522; midcap index drops 281 points to 30,728
--Metal, commodity stocks fall in line with international prices; Hindalco top Nifty loser
--Reliance Industries falls 2 percent after hitting record high on Tuesday
--September sales, volumes fail to boost sentiment; Tata Steel down 3 percent
--Tata Consumer, Britannia buck the trend, close higher
--ONGC holds gains as gas prices continue to rise; stock up 2 percent
--Chemical stocks maintain gaining momentum; Deepak Nitrite up 8 percent, Tata Chemicals up 3 percent
--Bosch top midcap gainer, up nearly 12 percent
--IRCTC, MCX, Bandhan Bank, Dalmia Bharat top midcap gainers
--AB Fashion, Nalco, Astral, Abbott, BHEL, RBL top midcap losers
--Market breadth favours the bears; advance-decline ratio at 1:2
Closing Bell | Sensex tumbles 555 points, Nifty cracks below 17,650
The Sensex index shed 555.2 points or 0.9 percent to end at 59,189.7 and the broader Nifty50 benchmark fell 176.3 points or one percent to settle at 17,646. Weakness across sectors, led by IT, metal, pharmaceutical and financial stocks pulled the market lower. (Read more on the closing bell here)
Sanjeev Sanyal, Principal Economic Advisor on:
Moody's rating outlook on India from negative to stable
"It is merely recognition of the obvious that some of the more hysterically negative outlooks and analysis that we saw a few months ago, has clearly proved to be wrong. I wasn't too thrown off when they put us on negative watch and I am not going to be wildly exuberant because we have been put on stable or even if we move into positive watch. What we need to do is to watch the data rather than get too excited about certification by various agencies."