HomeMarket NewsCommodities NewsCrude oil prices hit 7-year peak on political risks, supply crunch

Crude oil prices hit 7-year peak on political risks, supply crunch

Brent crude oil futures rose to $91.70 Friday to the highest level since October 2014 as geopolitical turmoil exacerbated concerns over tight energy supply. US WTI oil closed at $86.82 per barrel, after rising to as high as $88.84. On a weekly basis, the benchmark contracts notched their longest run of gains since October.

By Reuters January 29, 2022, 8:50:38 AM IST (Updated)

Crude oil prices rose to a more than seven-year peak Friday and recorded a sixth straight weekly gain as geopolitical turmoil exacerbated concerns over tight energy supply. On a weekly basis, the benchmark contracts notched their longest run of gains since October.

Brent futures rose 69 cents to settle at $90.03 a barrel, after hitting $91.70, the highest level since October 2014. US crude closed 21 cents higher at $86.82 per barrel, after hitting a seven-year peak of $88.84 during the session.

Tight oil supplies pushed the six-month market structure for Brent into steep backwardation of $6.92 a barrel, the widest since 2013. Backwardation exists when contracts for near-term delivery of oil are priced higher than those for later months, encouraging traders to release oil from storage to sell it promptly.

Major producers in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies led by Russia, collectively known as OPEC+, have struggled to raise their production levels. The market also reacted to attacks on the United Arab Emirates by Yemen's Houthi group.

Prices drew support from concerns over a possible military conflict in Ukraine that could disrupt energy markets, especially natural gas supply to Europe.

"So far there has been no supply disruptions in Eastern Europe, so guess the risk premium related to those tensions is not so high," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said. He added, "Some investors still prefer to hold their exposure."

US crude futures did briefly turn negative earlier in the session.

Matt Smith, director of commodity research at ClipperData, said relatively softer US rhetoric on Russia may have led to "some of the air being let out of the tires on this crude rally."

"But the bigger picture here is that with all the geopolitical uncertainty and the supply-side concerns, prices are continuing to just get swept along," he said.

At its Feb. 2 meeting, OPEC+ is likely to stick with a planned rise in its oil output target for March, several OPEC+ sources told Reuters.

"This is because some key producers in the OPEC+ group, including Russia, continue to struggle to meet their output quotas," said Marshall Steeves, energy markets analyst at IHS Markit.

US production has struggled its way higher even as the rig count has been rising, Steeves said, adding that output could be higher this year. 

On the demand side, crude imports in China, the world's biggest importer of the commodity, could rebound by as much as 7 percent this year, analysts and oil company officials said.