The IMD defines average, or normal, rainfall as between 96 percent and 104</a> percent of a 50-year average of 87 cm (35 inches) for the entire four-month season beginning in June.
India is likely to receive normal monsoon in 2022, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Tuesday. "Parameters have become more favourable for a good monsoon," the weather department said.
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The country is likely to receive 103 percent rain of a long-term average period (LPA) this year, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, director-general of the state-run IMD, said.
"Southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is most likely to be normal (96 to 104 percent of Long Period Average (LPA))," the IMD said in a press release on Monday.
"Quantitatively, the monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be 103 percent of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of ± 4 percent. The LPA of the seasonal rainfall over the country as a whole based on data of 1971-2020 is 87 cm," the weather department said.
The weather department had earlier projected southwest monsoon rains at 99 percent of LPA.
The IMD defines average, or normal, rainfall as between 96 percent and 104 percent of a 50-year average of 87 cm (35 inches) for the entire four-month season beginning in June.
Meanwhile, the IMD also predicted, "Rainfall activity over northeast India is likely to increase from tomorrow."
"Conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into some more parts of central Arabian Sea, some more parts of Karnataka, some parts of Konkan and Goa, some more parts of Tamil Nadu, remaining parts of southwest Bay of Bengal, some more parts of west-central Bay of Bengal, northeast Bay of Bengal, northeastern states and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim during next two to three days," the IMD said.
Moreover, most parts of the northwest and central India might witness a gradual rise in maximum temperatures by 2-3°C during the next three days.
Earlier on Sunday, the southwest monsoon set in over Kerala, three days ahead of its usual date of June 1. Also, parts of Delhi-NCR have been witnessing heavy rainfall.
(Edited by : Akriti Anand)
First Published: May 31, 2022 2:26 PM IST