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india | IST

Monsoon expected to be normal this year, says IMD

Mini

"Monsoon will be 98 percent of the LPA which is normal rainfall," said the Ministry.

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Friday said that the Southwest Monsoon, which brings more than 75 percent of rainfall to the country, is expected to be normal this year.
The Long Period Average (LPA) rainfall will be 98 percent with an error margin of plus and minus 5 percent, said M Rajeevan, secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences. He was releasing the first Long Range Forecast for the four-month rainfall period from June to September at a virtual press briefing.
"Monsoon will be 98 percent of the LPA which is normal rainfall. It is really good news for the country and will help India have a good agriculture output," Rajeevan said.
The Southwest monsoon is one of the primary drivers of the country's economy which is largely based on agriculture and its allied activities. Large parts of the country rely on the four-month rainfall season for agriculture and also for filling reservoirs.
This is the first time the IMD has made a specific forecast on spatial distribution. Rajeevan said the IMD will also issue month-wise forecasts during the next four months. The country has recorded above normal rainfall for the last two rainfall seasons. The La Nina and El Nino factors a major influence on the Indian monsoon. The former is associated with the cooling of the Pacific waters and brings good rainfall while the latter is linked to the heating of Pacific waters and could lead to deficient precipitation.
"There are less chances of formation of an El Nino," Rajeevan said. LPA, the average of the season's rainfall across the country from 1961-2010, is 88 cm.
Even Skymet Weather, a private weather forecaster, had said that the Southwest monsoon will be normal this year. The north India plains, along with a few parts of the northeast region, are likely to be at risk of being rain deficient through the season, the Skymet had said.
With inputs from PTI